Web interface

CANARY Web Console

Security-advisory forecasting for Jenkins plugins from public signals, evaluated honestly: four validation layers, one pre-registered criterion, and every number on this site traceable to the layer that produced it.

Plugin scoring

Score a plugin

Review the CANARY score, rationale, and supporting evidence.

Core workflow

The forecast comes from the frozen champion configuration applied to the newest panel month; the signals beneath it describe the plugin's current state and are not part of the validated forecast.

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CANARY forecast · as of 2026-06

pipeline-graph-view

Activity-recency clocks + Contributor dynamics · Logistic Regression: the frozen champion fold model (oot_champion/fold_2025-11, trained on months before 2025-11, labels as known 2025-12) applied to the newest month of the panel. Inference only; no outcome for this month is known yet.

Validated lineage
Share of paneltop 0.05%
Rank2 of 2,053
Score80.7%

Read the rank, not the score. The score is the model's raw output and is not a probability: on the holdout the champion's mean score is about 0.5 against an observed advisory rate of 1 percent. Across the pre-registered holdout, reviewing the top fifth of plugins by this ranking caught about half of the advisories that followed.

Honest track record

Where pipeline-graph-view ranked before each window

Activity-recency clocks + Contributor dynamics · Logistic Regression, embargoed rolling backtest: the rank this plugin held among every scored plugin at each forecast date, using only what was knowable then. Shaded months are the pre-registered holdout.

Recorded, not re-scored

Scored at 32 forecast dates; on average in the top 0.70% of plugins (top 0.08% across the holdout). No advisory followed any of those dates within six months.

out-of-time holdout0255075100top 20%2023-052023-092024-012024-052024-092025-012025-052025-092025-122023-05 · rank 64 of 2053 · 97th percentile · score 0.724 no advisory within six months2023-06 · rank 66 of 2053 · 97th percentile · score 0.733 no advisory within six months2023-07 · rank 53 of 2053 · 97th percentile · score 0.761 no advisory within six months2023-08 · rank 53 of 2053 · 97th percentile · score 0.753 no advisory within six months2023-09 · rank 30 of 2053 · 99th percentile · score 0.836 no advisory within six months2023-10 · rank 26 of 2053 · 99th percentile · score 0.849 no advisory within six months2023-11 · rank 25 of 2053 · 99th percentile · score 0.859 no advisory within six months2023-12 · rank 27 of 2053 · 99th percentile · score 0.840 no advisory within six months2024-01 · rank 4 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.853 no advisory within six months2024-02 · rank 23 of 2053 · 99th percentile · score 0.862 no advisory within six months2024-03 · rank 33 of 2053 · 98th percentile · score 0.845 no advisory within six months2024-04 · rank 3 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.866 no advisory within six months2024-05 · rank 4 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.851 no advisory within six months2024-06 · rank 2 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.864 no advisory within six months2024-07 · rank 4 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.851 no advisory within six months2024-08 · rank 4 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.857 no advisory within six months2024-09 · rank 6 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.847 no advisory within six months2024-10 · rank 6 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.847 no advisory within six months2024-11 · rank 8 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.846 no advisory within six months2024-12 · rank 8 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.830 no advisory within six months2025-01 · rank 4 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.863 no advisory within six months2025-02 · rank 8 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.818 no advisory within six months2025-03 · rank 7 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.831 no advisory within six months2025-04 · rank 4 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.857 no advisory within six months2025-05 · rank 1 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.895 no advisory within six months2025-06 · rank 3 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.882 no advisory within six months2025-07 · rank 2 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.869 no advisory within six months2025-08 · rank 2 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.870 no advisory within six months2025-09 · rank 3 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.872 no advisory within six months2025-10 · rank 3 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.876 no advisory within six months2025-11 · rank 3 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.822 no advisory within six months2025-12 · rank 3 of 2053 · 100th percentile · score 0.847 no advisory within six monthsadvisory followed within six monthsno advisory in window
Holdout monthScoreRankShare of panelWhat followed
2025-0786.9%2 of 2,053top 0.05%none within six months
2025-0887.0%2 of 2,053top 0.05%none within six months
2025-0987.2%3 of 2,053top 0.10%none within six months
2025-1087.6%3 of 2,053top 0.10%none within six months
2025-1182.2%3 of 2,053top 0.10%none within six months
2025-1284.7%3 of 2,053top 0.10%none within six months

Current-state context

Supporting signals

Maintenance history, governance artifacts, SLSA provenance and known advisories in dependencies, read from the plugin's current public state. A practitioner's dashboard, not part of the validated forecast.

Heuristic · not validated

Key risk signals

  • No advisories found in local dataset.
  • Latest release: 2026-08-31.
  • Requires Jenkins core 2.541.3.
  • Last commit: November 8, 2026 — live data from GitHub.
  • Recent release activity supports active maintenance.
  • No SECURITY.md — vulnerability reporting process undocumented (+3).
  • No Dependabot or GitHub Actions detected — limited automated maintenance (+3).
  • No changelog detected — release transparency limited (+2).
  • Dependency risk: 9 of 13 dep(s) have advisories; worst: pipeline-input-step (CVSS 8.8).
  • Plugin health score 97/100 — acceptable maintenance posture.
Feature details (34 keys)
{
  "advisory_count": 0,
  "latest_advisory_date": null,
  "days_since_latest_advisory": null,
  "advisory_within_90d": 0,
  "advisory_within_365d": 0,
  "had_advisory_within_365d": false,
  "max_cvss_base_score_observed": null,
  "max_cvss_severity_label_observed": null,
  "swh_present": true,
  "swh_days_since_last_commit": 5.5,
  "swh_commit_count": 10123,
  "swh_has_security_md": false,
  "swh_has_dependabot": false,
  "swh_has_github_actions": false,
  "swh_has_tests_directory": true,
  "swh_has_changelog": false,
  "swh_security_fix_commit_count": 136,
  "has_plugin_snapshot": true,
  "required_core": "2.541.3",
  "dependency_count": 13,
  "security_warning_count": 0,
  "active_security_warning_count": 0,
  "release_timestamp": "2026-08-31T14:05:31+00:00",
  "days_since_release": 69,
  "dependency_plugins": [
    "caffeine-api",
    "display-url-api",
    "git",
    "github-branch-source",
    "ionicons-api",
    "jackson3-api",
    "junit",
    "pipeline-build-step",
    "pipeline-input-step",
    "pipeline-model-definition",
    "workflow-cps",
    "workflow-durable-task-step",
    "workflow-job"
  ],
  "dependency_total": 13,
  "dependency_risk_points": 68,
  "dependency_risk_summary": {
    "deps_with_any_advisory": 9,
    "deps_with_recent_advisory_365d": 2,
    "deps_with_active_warning": 0,
    "worst_dep_max_cvss": 8.8,
    "worst_dep_id": "pipeline-input-step",
    "worst_dep_latest_advisory_date": "2022-10-19"
  },
  "dependency_missing_data": {
    "snapshot_missing": 0,
    "advisories_missing": 0,
    "healthscore_missing": 0
  },
  "dependency_details_top": [
    {
      "plugin_id": "workflow-cps",
      "advisory_count": 11,
      "latest_advisory_date": "2026-06-24",
      "recent_advisory_365d": true,
      "max_cvss": 8.8,
      "security_warning_count": 13,
      "active_security_warning_count": 0,
      "healthscore": 100,
      "risk_points": 17,
      "reasons": [
        "11 advisories (+10).",
        "Max CVSS 8.8 (+4).",
        "Recent advisory within 365d (+3)."
      ]
    },
    {
      "plugin_id": "junit",
      "advisory_count": 5,
      "latest_advisory_date": "2023-02-15",
      "recent_advisory_365d": false,
      "max_cvss": 8.0,
      "security_warning_count": 5,
      "active_security_warning_count": 0,
      "healthscore": 97,
      "risk_points": 14,
      "reasons": [
        "5 advisories (+10).",
        "Max CVSS 8.0 (+4)."
      ]
    },
    {
      "plugin_id": "git",
      "advisory_count": 9,
      "latest_advisory_date": "2022-08-23",
      "recent_advisory_365d": false,
      "max_cvss": 7.5,
      "security_warning_count": 9,
      "active_security_warning_count": 0,
      "healthscore": 100,
      "risk_points": 14,
      "reasons": [
        "9 advisories (+10).",
        "Max CVSS 7.5 (+4)."
      ]
    },
    {
      "plugin_id": "github-branch-source",
      "advisory_count": 4,
      "latest_advisory_date": "2026-06-24",
      "recent_advisory_365d": true,
      "max_cvss": 5.0,
      "security_warning_count": 5,
      "active_security_warning_count": 0,
      "healthscore": 97,
      "risk_points": 13,
      "reasons": [
        "4 advisories (+8).",
        "Max CVSS 5.0 (+2).",
        "Recent advisory within 365d (+3)."
      ]
    },
    {
      "plugin_id": "pipeline-input-step",
      "advisory_count": 3,
      "latest_advisory_date": "2022-10-19",
      "recent_advisory_365d": false,
      "max_cvss": 8.8,
      "security_warning_count": 3,
      "active_security_warning_count": 0,
      "healthscore": 100,
      "risk_points": 10,
      "reasons": [
        "3 advisories (+6).",
        "Max CVSS 8.8 (+4)."
      ]
    }
  ],
  "healthscore_value": 97,
  "healthscore_date": "2026-02-23T04:26:58.87232Z",
  "healthscore_collected_at": "2026-02-28T16:43:20+00:00",
  "score_components": {
    "advisory_history": 0,
    "advisory_severity": 0,
    "staleness": 0,
    "active_warnings": 0,
    "governance": 8,
    "dependency": 5,
    "health_score": 0,
    "security_sensitivity": 0
  }
}
JSON payload
{
  "plugin": "pipeline-graph-view",
  "score": 13,
  "reasons": [
    "No advisories found in local dataset.",
    "Latest release: 2026-08-31.",
    "Requires Jenkins core 2.541.3.",
    "Recent commit activity (5 days ago) suggests active maintenance.",
    "Recent release activity supports active maintenance.",
    "No SECURITY.md — vulnerability reporting process undocumented (+3).",
    "No Dependabot or GitHub Actions detected — limited automated maintenance (+3).",
    "No changelog detected — release transparency limited (+2).",
    "Dependency risk: 9 of 13 dep(s) have advisories; worst: pipeline-input-step (CVSS 8.8).",
    "Plugin health score 97/100 — acceptable maintenance posture."
  ],
  "features": {
    "advisory_count": 0,
    "latest_advisory_date": null,
    "days_since_latest_advisory": null,
    "advisory_within_90d": 0,
    "advisory_within_365d": 0,
    "had_advisory_within_365d": false,
    "max_cvss_base_score_observed": null,
    "max_cvss_severity_label_observed": null,
    "swh_present": true,
    "swh_days_since_last_commit": 5.5,
    "swh_commit_count": 10123,
    "swh_has_security_md": false,
    "swh_has_dependabot": false,
    "swh_has_github_actions": false,
    "swh_has_tests_directory": true,
    "swh_has_changelog": false,
    "swh_security_fix_commit_count": 136,
    "has_plugin_snapshot": true,
    "required_core": "2.541.3",
    "dependency_count": 13,
    "security_warning_count": 0,
    "active_security_warning_count": 0,
    "release_timestamp": "2026-08-31T14:05:31+00:00",
    "days_since_release": 69,
    "dependency_plugins": [
      "caffeine-api",
      "display-url-api",
      "git",
      "github-branch-source",
      "ionicons-api",
      "jackson3-api",
      "junit",
      "pipeline-build-step",
      "pipeline-input-step",
      "pipeline-model-definition",
      "workflow-cps",
      "workflow-durable-task-step",
      "workflow-job"
    ],
    "dependency_total": 13,
    "dependency_risk_points": 68,
    "dependency_risk_summary": {
      "deps_with_any_advisory": 9,
      "deps_with_recent_advisory_365d": 2,
      "deps_with_active_warning": 0,
      "worst_dep_max_cvss": 8.8,
      "worst_dep_id": "pipeline-input-step",
      "worst_dep_latest_advisory_date": "2022-10-19"
    },
    "dependency_missing_data": {
      "snapshot_missing": 0,
      "advisories_missing": 0,
      "healthscore_missing": 0
    },
    "dependency_details_top": [
      {
        "plugin_id": "workflow-cps",
        "advisory_count": 11,
        "latest_advisory_date": "2026-06-24",
        "recent_advisory_365d": true,
        "max_cvss": 8.8,
        "security_warning_count": 13,
        "active_security_warning_count": 0,
        "healthscore": 100,
        "risk_points": 17,
        "reasons": [
          "11 advisories (+10).",
          "Max CVSS 8.8 (+4).",
          "Recent advisory within 365d (+3)."
        ]
      },
      {
        "plugin_id": "junit",
        "advisory_count": 5,
        "latest_advisory_date": "2023-02-15",
        "recent_advisory_365d": false,
        "max_cvss": 8.0,
        "security_warning_count": 5,
        "active_security_warning_count": 0,
        "healthscore": 97,
        "risk_points": 14,
        "reasons": [
          "5 advisories (+10).",
          "Max CVSS 8.0 (+4)."
        ]
      },
      {
        "plugin_id": "git",
        "advisory_count": 9,
        "latest_advisory_date": "2022-08-23",
        "recent_advisory_365d": false,
        "max_cvss": 7.5,
        "security_warning_count": 9,
        "active_security_warning_count": 0,
        "healthscore": 100,
        "risk_points": 14,
        "reasons": [
          "9 advisories (+10).",
          "Max CVSS 7.5 (+4)."
        ]
      },
      {
        "plugin_id": "github-branch-source",
        "advisory_count": 4,
        "latest_advisory_date": "2026-06-24",
        "recent_advisory_365d": true,
        "max_cvss": 5.0,
        "security_warning_count": 5,
        "active_security_warning_count": 0,
        "healthscore": 97,
        "risk_points": 13,
        "reasons": [
          "4 advisories (+8).",
          "Max CVSS 5.0 (+2).",
          "Recent advisory within 365d (+3)."
        ]
      },
      {
        "plugin_id": "pipeline-input-step",
        "advisory_count": 3,
        "latest_advisory_date": "2022-10-19",
        "recent_advisory_365d": false,
        "max_cvss": 8.8,
        "security_warning_count": 3,
        "active_security_warning_count": 0,
        "healthscore": 100,
        "risk_points": 10,
        "reasons": [
          "3 advisories (+6).",
          "Max CVSS 8.8 (+4)."
        ]
      }
    ],
    "healthscore_value": 97,
    "healthscore_date": "2026-02-23T04:26:58.87232Z",
    "healthscore_collected_at": "2026-02-28T16:43:20+00:00",
    "score_components": {
      "advisory_history": 0,
      "advisory_severity": 0,
      "staleness": 0,
      "active_warnings": 0,
      "governance": 8,
      "dependency": 5,
      "health_score": 0,
      "security_sensitivity": 0
    }
  }
}