Plugin scoring
Score a plugin
Review the CANARY score, rationale, and supporting evidence.
The forecast comes from the frozen champion configuration applied to the newest panel month; the signals beneath it describe the plugin's current state and are not part of the validated forecast.
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CANARY forecast · as of 2026-06
ldap
Activity-recency clocks + Contributor dynamics · Logistic Regression: the frozen champion fold model (oot_champion/fold_2025-11, trained on months before 2025-11, labels as known 2025-12) applied to the newest month of the panel. Inference only; no outcome for this month is known yet.
Read the rank, not the score. The score is the model's raw output and is not a probability: on the holdout the champion's mean score is about 0.5 against an observed advisory rate of 1 percent. Across the pre-registered holdout, reviewing the top fifth of plugins by this ranking caught about half of the advisories that followed.
Honest track record
Where ldap ranked before each window
Activity-recency clocks + Contributor dynamics · Logistic Regression, embargoed rolling backtest: the rank this plugin held among every scored plugin at each forecast date, using only what was knowable then. Shaded months are the pre-registered holdout.
Scored at 32 forecast dates; on average in the top 1.5% of plugins (top 1.6% across the holdout). An advisory followed within six months of 2 of those dates.
| Holdout month | Score | Rank | Share of panel | What followed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 70.6% | 34 of 2,053 | top 1.6% | none within six months |
| 2025-08 | 68.8% | 48 of 2,053 | top 2.3% | none within six months |
| 2025-09 | 78.3% | 10 of 2,053 | top 0.44% | none within six months |
| 2025-10 | 72.4% | 27 of 2,053 | top 1.3% | none within six months |
| 2025-11 | 71.0% | 22 of 2,053 | top 1.0% | SECURITY-3654 2026-05-27 |
| 2025-12 | 67.9% | 58 of 2,053 | top 2.8% | SECURITY-3654 2026-05-27 |
Current-state context
Supporting signals
Maintenance history, governance artifacts, SLSA provenance and known advisories in dependencies, read from the plugin's current public state. A practitioner's dashboard, not part of the validated forecast.
Key risk signals
- 2 prior advisory record(s) — history +4, recency +5 (0 within 90d, 1 within 365 days); component total +9 (cap 30).
- Advisory severity (max CVSS 6.6 — Medium): +6 (cap 15).
- Latest release: 2026-05-20.
- Requires Jenkins core 2.504.3.
- Last commit: October 28, 2026 — live data from GitHub.
- Recent release activity supports active maintenance.
- 2 historical security warning(s) — none currently active.
- No SECURITY.md — vulnerability reporting process undocumented (+3).
- No Dependabot or GitHub Actions detected — limited automated maintenance (+3).
- Dependency risk: 1 of 1 dep(s) have advisories; worst: mailer (CVSS 4.8).
- Plugin health score 97/100 — acceptable maintenance posture.
- Plugin name suggests auth/security sensitivity (ldap): +20 (cap 20).
Feature details (34 keys)
{
"advisory_count": 2,
"latest_advisory_date": "2026-05-27",
"days_since_latest_advisory": 166,
"advisory_within_90d": 0,
"advisory_within_365d": 1,
"had_advisory_within_365d": true,
"max_cvss_base_score_observed": 6.6,
"max_cvss_severity_label_observed": "Medium",
"swh_present": true,
"swh_days_since_last_commit": 10.4,
"swh_commit_count": 12161,
"swh_has_security_md": false,
"swh_has_dependabot": false,
"swh_has_github_actions": false,
"swh_has_tests_directory": true,
"swh_has_changelog": true,
"swh_security_fix_commit_count": 222,
"has_plugin_snapshot": true,
"required_core": "2.504.3",
"dependency_count": 1,
"security_warning_count": 2,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"release_timestamp": "2026-05-20T11:06:25+00:00",
"days_since_release": 172,
"dependency_plugins": [
"mailer"
],
"dependency_total": 1,
"dependency_risk_points": 10,
"dependency_risk_summary": {
"deps_with_any_advisory": 1,
"deps_with_recent_advisory_365d": 0,
"deps_with_active_warning": 0,
"worst_dep_max_cvss": 4.8,
"worst_dep_id": "mailer",
"worst_dep_latest_advisory_date": "2022-01-12"
},
"dependency_missing_data": {
"snapshot_missing": 0,
"advisories_missing": 0,
"healthscore_missing": 0
},
"dependency_details_top": [
{
"plugin_id": "mailer",
"advisory_count": 4,
"latest_advisory_date": "2022-01-12",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 4.8,
"security_warning_count": 4,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 100,
"risk_points": 10,
"reasons": [
"4 advisories (+8).",
"Max CVSS 4.8 (+2)."
]
}
],
"healthscore_value": 97,
"healthscore_date": "2026-01-29T03:27:23.763981Z",
"healthscore_collected_at": "2026-02-28T16:43:20+00:00",
"score_components": {
"advisory_history": 9,
"advisory_severity": 6,
"staleness": 0,
"active_warnings": 0,
"governance": 6,
"dependency": 2,
"health_score": 0,
"security_sensitivity": 20
}
}JSON payload
{
"plugin": "ldap",
"score": 43,
"reasons": [
"2 prior advisory record(s) — history +4, recency +5 (0 within 90d, 1 within 365 days); component total +9 (cap 30).",
"Advisory severity (max CVSS 6.6 — Medium): +6 (cap 15).",
"Latest release: 2026-05-20.",
"Requires Jenkins core 2.504.3.",
"Recent commit activity (10 days ago) suggests active maintenance.",
"Recent release activity supports active maintenance.",
"2 historical security warning(s) — none currently active.",
"No SECURITY.md — vulnerability reporting process undocumented (+3).",
"No Dependabot or GitHub Actions detected — limited automated maintenance (+3).",
"Dependency risk: 1 of 1 dep(s) have advisories; worst: mailer (CVSS 4.8).",
"Plugin health score 97/100 — acceptable maintenance posture.",
"Plugin name suggests auth/security sensitivity (ldap): +20 (cap 20)."
],
"features": {
"advisory_count": 2,
"latest_advisory_date": "2026-05-27",
"days_since_latest_advisory": 166,
"advisory_within_90d": 0,
"advisory_within_365d": 1,
"had_advisory_within_365d": true,
"max_cvss_base_score_observed": 6.6,
"max_cvss_severity_label_observed": "Medium",
"swh_present": true,
"swh_days_since_last_commit": 10.4,
"swh_commit_count": 12161,
"swh_has_security_md": false,
"swh_has_dependabot": false,
"swh_has_github_actions": false,
"swh_has_tests_directory": true,
"swh_has_changelog": true,
"swh_security_fix_commit_count": 222,
"has_plugin_snapshot": true,
"required_core": "2.504.3",
"dependency_count": 1,
"security_warning_count": 2,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"release_timestamp": "2026-05-20T11:06:25+00:00",
"days_since_release": 172,
"dependency_plugins": [
"mailer"
],
"dependency_total": 1,
"dependency_risk_points": 10,
"dependency_risk_summary": {
"deps_with_any_advisory": 1,
"deps_with_recent_advisory_365d": 0,
"deps_with_active_warning": 0,
"worst_dep_max_cvss": 4.8,
"worst_dep_id": "mailer",
"worst_dep_latest_advisory_date": "2022-01-12"
},
"dependency_missing_data": {
"snapshot_missing": 0,
"advisories_missing": 0,
"healthscore_missing": 0
},
"dependency_details_top": [
{
"plugin_id": "mailer",
"advisory_count": 4,
"latest_advisory_date": "2022-01-12",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 4.8,
"security_warning_count": 4,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 100,
"risk_points": 10,
"reasons": [
"4 advisories (+8).",
"Max CVSS 4.8 (+2)."
]
}
],
"healthscore_value": 97,
"healthscore_date": "2026-01-29T03:27:23.763981Z",
"healthscore_collected_at": "2026-02-28T16:43:20+00:00",
"score_components": {
"advisory_history": 9,
"advisory_severity": 6,
"staleness": 0,
"active_warnings": 0,
"governance": 6,
"dependency": 2,
"health_score": 0,
"security_sensitivity": 20
}
}
}