Plugin scoring
Score a plugin
Review the CANARY score, rationale, and supporting evidence.
The forecast comes from the frozen champion configuration applied to the newest panel month; the signals beneath it describe the plugin's current state and are not part of the validated forecast.
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CANARY forecast · as of 2026-06
cloudbees-bitbucket-branch-source
Activity-recency clocks + Contributor dynamics · Logistic Regression: the frozen champion fold model (oot_champion/fold_2025-11, trained on months before 2025-11, labels as known 2025-12) applied to the newest month of the panel. Inference only; no outcome for this month is known yet.
Share of paneltop 3.2%
Rank67 of 2,053
Score61.1%
Read the rank, not the score. The score is the model's raw output and is not a probability: on the holdout the champion's mean score is about 0.5 against an observed advisory rate of 1 percent. Across the pre-registered holdout, reviewing the top fifth of plugins by this ranking caught about half of the advisories that followed.
Honest track record
Where cloudbees-bitbucket-branch-source ranked before each window
Activity-recency clocks + Contributor dynamics · Logistic Regression, embargoed rolling backtest: the rank this plugin held among every scored plugin at each forecast date, using only what was knowable then. Shaded months are the pre-registered holdout.
Scored at 32 forecast dates; on average in the top 0.73% of plugins (top 0.19% across the holdout). An advisory followed within six months of 9 of those dates.
| Holdout month | Score | Rank | Share of panel | What followed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 83.8% | 4 of 2,053 | top 0.15% | none within six months |
| 2025-08 | 80.8% | 7 of 2,053 | top 0.29% | none within six months |
| 2025-09 | 83.9% | 5 of 2,053 | top 0.19% | none within six months |
| 2025-10 | 83.8% | 4 of 2,053 | top 0.15% | none within six months |
| 2025-11 | 82.2% | 4 of 2,053 | top 0.15% | none within six months |
| 2025-12 | 79.1% | 6 of 2,053 | top 0.24% | none within six months |
Current-state context
Supporting signals
Maintenance history, governance artifacts, SLSA provenance and known advisories in dependencies, read from the plugin's current public state. A practitioner's dashboard, not part of the validated forecast.
Key risk signals
- 3 prior advisory record(s) — history +6, recency +0 (0 within 90d, 0 within 365 days); component total +6 (cap 30).
- No advisory activity in the last 365 days — historical record only.
- Advisory severity (max CVSS 7.1 — High): +12 (cap 15).
- Latest release: 2026-08-25.
- Requires Jenkins core 2.541.3.
- Recent release activity supports active maintenance.
- 4 historical security warning(s) — none currently active.
- No SECURITY.md — vulnerability reporting process undocumented (+3).
- No Dependabot or GitHub Actions detected — limited automated maintenance (+3).
- No test directory detected — reduced code review discipline signal (+2).
- No changelog detected — release transparency limited (+2).
- Dependency risk: 4 of 12 dep(s) have advisories; worst: git (CVSS 7.5).
- Plugin health score 96/100 — acceptable maintenance posture.
Feature details (34 keys)
{
"advisory_count": 3,
"latest_advisory_date": "2024-06-26",
"days_since_latest_advisory": 866,
"advisory_within_90d": 0,
"advisory_within_365d": 0,
"had_advisory_within_365d": false,
"max_cvss_base_score_observed": 7.1,
"max_cvss_severity_label_observed": "High",
"swh_present": true,
"swh_days_since_last_commit": null,
"swh_commit_count": 0,
"swh_has_security_md": false,
"swh_has_dependabot": false,
"swh_has_github_actions": false,
"swh_has_tests_directory": false,
"swh_has_changelog": false,
"swh_security_fix_commit_count": 0,
"has_plugin_snapshot": true,
"required_core": "2.541.3",
"dependency_count": 12,
"security_warning_count": 4,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"release_timestamp": "2026-08-25T07:43:28+00:00",
"days_since_release": 75,
"dependency_plugins": [
"apache-httpcomponents-client-5-api",
"authentication-tokens",
"commons-collections4-api",
"commons-lang3-api",
"configuration-as-code",
"display-url-api",
"git",
"handy-uri-templates-2-api",
"jackson2-api",
"plain-credentials",
"scm-api",
"structs"
],
"dependency_total": 12,
"dependency_risk_points": 28,
"dependency_risk_summary": {
"deps_with_any_advisory": 4,
"deps_with_recent_advisory_365d": 0,
"deps_with_active_warning": 0,
"worst_dep_max_cvss": 7.5,
"worst_dep_id": "git",
"worst_dep_latest_advisory_date": "2022-08-23"
},
"dependency_missing_data": {
"snapshot_missing": 0,
"advisories_missing": 0,
"healthscore_missing": 0
},
"dependency_details_top": [
{
"plugin_id": "git",
"advisory_count": 9,
"latest_advisory_date": "2022-08-23",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 7.5,
"security_warning_count": 9,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 100,
"risk_points": 14,
"reasons": [
"9 advisories (+10).",
"Max CVSS 7.5 (+4)."
]
},
{
"plugin_id": "configuration-as-code",
"advisory_count": 3,
"latest_advisory_date": "2022-01-12",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 6.5,
"security_warning_count": 9,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 100,
"risk_points": 8,
"reasons": [
"3 advisories (+6).",
"Max CVSS 6.5 (+2)."
]
},
{
"plugin_id": "plain-credentials",
"advisory_count": 1,
"latest_advisory_date": "2024-06-26",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 4.3,
"security_warning_count": 1,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 96,
"risk_points": 4,
"reasons": [
"1 advisories (+2).",
"Max CVSS 4.3 (+2)."
]
},
{
"plugin_id": "structs",
"advisory_count": 1,
"latest_advisory_date": "2024-06-26",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": null,
"security_warning_count": 1,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 100,
"risk_points": 2,
"reasons": [
"1 advisories (+2)."
]
}
],
"healthscore_value": 96,
"healthscore_date": "2026-02-27T14:29:18.736117Z",
"healthscore_collected_at": "2026-02-28T16:43:20+00:00",
"score_components": {
"advisory_history": 6,
"advisory_severity": 12,
"staleness": 0,
"active_warnings": 0,
"governance": 10,
"dependency": 5,
"health_score": 0,
"security_sensitivity": 0
}
}JSON payload
{
"plugin": "cloudbees-bitbucket-branch-source",
"score": 33,
"reasons": [
"3 prior advisory record(s) — history +6, recency +0 (0 within 90d, 0 within 365 days); component total +6 (cap 30).",
"No advisory activity in the last 365 days — historical record only.",
"Advisory severity (max CVSS 7.1 — High): +12 (cap 15).",
"Latest release: 2026-08-25.",
"Requires Jenkins core 2.541.3.",
"Recent release activity supports active maintenance.",
"4 historical security warning(s) — none currently active.",
"No SECURITY.md — vulnerability reporting process undocumented (+3).",
"No Dependabot or GitHub Actions detected — limited automated maintenance (+3).",
"No test directory detected — reduced code review discipline signal (+2).",
"No changelog detected — release transparency limited (+2).",
"Dependency risk: 4 of 12 dep(s) have advisories; worst: git (CVSS 7.5).",
"Plugin health score 96/100 — acceptable maintenance posture."
],
"features": {
"advisory_count": 3,
"latest_advisory_date": "2024-06-26",
"days_since_latest_advisory": 866,
"advisory_within_90d": 0,
"advisory_within_365d": 0,
"had_advisory_within_365d": false,
"max_cvss_base_score_observed": 7.1,
"max_cvss_severity_label_observed": "High",
"swh_present": true,
"swh_days_since_last_commit": null,
"swh_commit_count": 0,
"swh_has_security_md": false,
"swh_has_dependabot": false,
"swh_has_github_actions": false,
"swh_has_tests_directory": false,
"swh_has_changelog": false,
"swh_security_fix_commit_count": 0,
"has_plugin_snapshot": true,
"required_core": "2.541.3",
"dependency_count": 12,
"security_warning_count": 4,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"release_timestamp": "2026-08-25T07:43:28+00:00",
"days_since_release": 75,
"dependency_plugins": [
"apache-httpcomponents-client-5-api",
"authentication-tokens",
"commons-collections4-api",
"commons-lang3-api",
"configuration-as-code",
"display-url-api",
"git",
"handy-uri-templates-2-api",
"jackson2-api",
"plain-credentials",
"scm-api",
"structs"
],
"dependency_total": 12,
"dependency_risk_points": 28,
"dependency_risk_summary": {
"deps_with_any_advisory": 4,
"deps_with_recent_advisory_365d": 0,
"deps_with_active_warning": 0,
"worst_dep_max_cvss": 7.5,
"worst_dep_id": "git",
"worst_dep_latest_advisory_date": "2022-08-23"
},
"dependency_missing_data": {
"snapshot_missing": 0,
"advisories_missing": 0,
"healthscore_missing": 0
},
"dependency_details_top": [
{
"plugin_id": "git",
"advisory_count": 9,
"latest_advisory_date": "2022-08-23",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 7.5,
"security_warning_count": 9,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 100,
"risk_points": 14,
"reasons": [
"9 advisories (+10).",
"Max CVSS 7.5 (+4)."
]
},
{
"plugin_id": "configuration-as-code",
"advisory_count": 3,
"latest_advisory_date": "2022-01-12",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 6.5,
"security_warning_count": 9,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 100,
"risk_points": 8,
"reasons": [
"3 advisories (+6).",
"Max CVSS 6.5 (+2)."
]
},
{
"plugin_id": "plain-credentials",
"advisory_count": 1,
"latest_advisory_date": "2024-06-26",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 4.3,
"security_warning_count": 1,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 96,
"risk_points": 4,
"reasons": [
"1 advisories (+2).",
"Max CVSS 4.3 (+2)."
]
},
{
"plugin_id": "structs",
"advisory_count": 1,
"latest_advisory_date": "2024-06-26",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": null,
"security_warning_count": 1,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 100,
"risk_points": 2,
"reasons": [
"1 advisories (+2)."
]
}
],
"healthscore_value": 96,
"healthscore_date": "2026-02-27T14:29:18.736117Z",
"healthscore_collected_at": "2026-02-28T16:43:20+00:00",
"score_components": {
"advisory_history": 6,
"advisory_severity": 12,
"staleness": 0,
"active_warnings": 0,
"governance": 10,
"dependency": 5,
"health_score": 0,
"security_sensitivity": 0
}
}
}