Plugin scoring
Score a plugin
Review the CANARY score, rationale, and supporting evidence.
The forecast comes from the frozen champion configuration applied to the newest panel month; the signals beneath it describe the plugin's current state and are not part of the validated forecast.
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CANARY forecast · as of 2026-06
azure-vm-agents
Activity-recency clocks + Contributor dynamics · Logistic Regression: the frozen champion fold model (oot_champion/fold_2025-11, trained on months before 2025-11, labels as known 2025-12) applied to the newest month of the panel. Inference only; no outcome for this month is known yet.
Share of paneltop 1.6%
Rank33 of 2,053
Score64.5%
Read the rank, not the score. The score is the model's raw output and is not a probability: on the holdout the champion's mean score is about 0.5 against an observed advisory rate of 1 percent. Across the pre-registered holdout, reviewing the top fifth of plugins by this ranking caught about half of the advisories that followed.
Honest track record
Where azure-vm-agents ranked before each window
Activity-recency clocks + Contributor dynamics · Logistic Regression, embargoed rolling backtest: the rank this plugin held among every scored plugin at each forecast date, using only what was knowable then. Shaded months are the pre-registered holdout.
Scored at 32 forecast dates; on average in the top 2.2% of plugins (top 0.93% across the holdout). No advisory followed any of those dates within six months.
| Holdout month | Score | Rank | Share of panel | What followed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 72.9% | 25 of 2,053 | top 1.2% | none within six months |
| 2025-08 | 73.8% | 26 of 2,053 | top 1.2% | none within six months |
| 2025-09 | 73.8% | 24 of 2,053 | top 1.1% | none within six months |
| 2025-10 | 76.3% | 11 of 2,053 | top 0.49% | none within six months |
| 2025-11 | 73.0% | 13 of 2,053 | top 0.58% | none within six months |
| 2025-12 | 73.6% | 21 of 2,053 | top 0.97% | none within six months |
Current-state context
Supporting signals
Maintenance history, governance artifacts, SLSA provenance and known advisories in dependencies, read from the plugin's current public state. A practitioner's dashboard, not part of the validated forecast.
Key risk signals
- 2 prior advisory record(s) — history +4, recency +0 (0 within 90d, 0 within 365 days); component total +4 (cap 30).
- No advisory activity in the last 365 days — historical record only.
- Advisory severity (max CVSS 5.0 — Medium): +3 (cap 15).
- Latest release: 2026-04-10.
- Requires Jenkins core 2.516.3.
- Last commit: November 3, 2026 — live data from GitHub.
- 5 historical security warning(s) — none currently active.
- No SECURITY.md — vulnerability reporting process undocumented (+3).
- No Dependabot or GitHub Actions detected — limited automated maintenance (+3).
- Dependency risk: 4 of 7 dep(s) have advisories; worst: azure-credentials (CVSS 4.3).
- Plugin health score 96/100 — acceptable maintenance posture.
Feature details (34 keys)
{
"advisory_count": 2,
"latest_advisory_date": "2023-05-16",
"days_since_latest_advisory": 1273,
"advisory_within_90d": 0,
"advisory_within_365d": 0,
"had_advisory_within_365d": false,
"max_cvss_base_score_observed": 5.0,
"max_cvss_severity_label_observed": "Medium",
"swh_present": true,
"swh_days_since_last_commit": 0.9,
"swh_commit_count": 16743,
"swh_has_security_md": false,
"swh_has_dependabot": false,
"swh_has_github_actions": false,
"swh_has_tests_directory": true,
"swh_has_changelog": true,
"swh_security_fix_commit_count": 936,
"has_plugin_snapshot": true,
"required_core": "2.516.3",
"dependency_count": 7,
"security_warning_count": 5,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"release_timestamp": "2026-04-10T10:34:10+00:00",
"days_since_release": 212,
"dependency_plugins": [
"azure-credentials",
"caffeine-api",
"cloud-stats",
"commons-lang3-api",
"credentials",
"jsch",
"plain-credentials"
],
"dependency_total": 7,
"dependency_risk_points": 21,
"dependency_risk_summary": {
"deps_with_any_advisory": 4,
"deps_with_recent_advisory_365d": 0,
"deps_with_active_warning": 0,
"worst_dep_max_cvss": 4.3,
"worst_dep_id": "azure-credentials",
"worst_dep_latest_advisory_date": "2023-02-15"
},
"dependency_missing_data": {
"snapshot_missing": 0,
"advisories_missing": 0,
"healthscore_missing": 0
},
"dependency_details_top": [
{
"plugin_id": "credentials",
"advisory_count": 4,
"latest_advisory_date": "2024-10-02",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 4.3,
"security_warning_count": 4,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 100,
"risk_points": 10,
"reasons": [
"4 advisories (+8).",
"Max CVSS 4.3 (+2)."
]
},
{
"plugin_id": "azure-credentials",
"advisory_count": 1,
"latest_advisory_date": "2023-02-15",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 4.3,
"security_warning_count": 2,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 96,
"risk_points": 4,
"reasons": [
"1 advisories (+2).",
"Max CVSS 4.3 (+2)."
]
},
{
"plugin_id": "plain-credentials",
"advisory_count": 1,
"latest_advisory_date": "2024-06-26",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 4.3,
"security_warning_count": 1,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 96,
"risk_points": 4,
"reasons": [
"1 advisories (+2).",
"Max CVSS 4.3 (+2)."
]
},
{
"plugin_id": "cloud-stats",
"advisory_count": 1,
"latest_advisory_date": "2021-03-30",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 3.1,
"security_warning_count": 1,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 80,
"risk_points": 3,
"reasons": [
"1 advisories (+2).",
"Health score 80 (+1)."
]
}
],
"healthscore_value": 96,
"healthscore_date": "2026-02-23T01:27:29.502048Z",
"healthscore_collected_at": "2026-02-28T16:43:20+00:00",
"score_components": {
"advisory_history": 4,
"advisory_severity": 3,
"staleness": 0,
"active_warnings": 0,
"governance": 6,
"dependency": 5,
"health_score": 0,
"security_sensitivity": 0
}
}JSON payload
{
"plugin": "azure-vm-agents",
"score": 18,
"reasons": [
"2 prior advisory record(s) — history +4, recency +0 (0 within 90d, 0 within 365 days); component total +4 (cap 30).",
"No advisory activity in the last 365 days — historical record only.",
"Advisory severity (max CVSS 5.0 — Medium): +3 (cap 15).",
"Latest release: 2026-04-10.",
"Requires Jenkins core 2.516.3.",
"Recent commit activity (0 days ago) suggests active maintenance.",
"5 historical security warning(s) — none currently active.",
"No SECURITY.md — vulnerability reporting process undocumented (+3).",
"No Dependabot or GitHub Actions detected — limited automated maintenance (+3).",
"Dependency risk: 4 of 7 dep(s) have advisories; worst: azure-credentials (CVSS 4.3).",
"Plugin health score 96/100 — acceptable maintenance posture."
],
"features": {
"advisory_count": 2,
"latest_advisory_date": "2023-05-16",
"days_since_latest_advisory": 1273,
"advisory_within_90d": 0,
"advisory_within_365d": 0,
"had_advisory_within_365d": false,
"max_cvss_base_score_observed": 5.0,
"max_cvss_severity_label_observed": "Medium",
"swh_present": true,
"swh_days_since_last_commit": 0.9,
"swh_commit_count": 16743,
"swh_has_security_md": false,
"swh_has_dependabot": false,
"swh_has_github_actions": false,
"swh_has_tests_directory": true,
"swh_has_changelog": true,
"swh_security_fix_commit_count": 936,
"has_plugin_snapshot": true,
"required_core": "2.516.3",
"dependency_count": 7,
"security_warning_count": 5,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"release_timestamp": "2026-04-10T10:34:10+00:00",
"days_since_release": 212,
"dependency_plugins": [
"azure-credentials",
"caffeine-api",
"cloud-stats",
"commons-lang3-api",
"credentials",
"jsch",
"plain-credentials"
],
"dependency_total": 7,
"dependency_risk_points": 21,
"dependency_risk_summary": {
"deps_with_any_advisory": 4,
"deps_with_recent_advisory_365d": 0,
"deps_with_active_warning": 0,
"worst_dep_max_cvss": 4.3,
"worst_dep_id": "azure-credentials",
"worst_dep_latest_advisory_date": "2023-02-15"
},
"dependency_missing_data": {
"snapshot_missing": 0,
"advisories_missing": 0,
"healthscore_missing": 0
},
"dependency_details_top": [
{
"plugin_id": "credentials",
"advisory_count": 4,
"latest_advisory_date": "2024-10-02",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 4.3,
"security_warning_count": 4,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 100,
"risk_points": 10,
"reasons": [
"4 advisories (+8).",
"Max CVSS 4.3 (+2)."
]
},
{
"plugin_id": "azure-credentials",
"advisory_count": 1,
"latest_advisory_date": "2023-02-15",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 4.3,
"security_warning_count": 2,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 96,
"risk_points": 4,
"reasons": [
"1 advisories (+2).",
"Max CVSS 4.3 (+2)."
]
},
{
"plugin_id": "plain-credentials",
"advisory_count": 1,
"latest_advisory_date": "2024-06-26",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 4.3,
"security_warning_count": 1,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 96,
"risk_points": 4,
"reasons": [
"1 advisories (+2).",
"Max CVSS 4.3 (+2)."
]
},
{
"plugin_id": "cloud-stats",
"advisory_count": 1,
"latest_advisory_date": "2021-03-30",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 3.1,
"security_warning_count": 1,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 80,
"risk_points": 3,
"reasons": [
"1 advisories (+2).",
"Health score 80 (+1)."
]
}
],
"healthscore_value": 96,
"healthscore_date": "2026-02-23T01:27:29.502048Z",
"healthscore_collected_at": "2026-02-28T16:43:20+00:00",
"score_components": {
"advisory_history": 4,
"advisory_severity": 3,
"staleness": 0,
"active_warnings": 0,
"governance": 6,
"dependency": 5,
"health_score": 0,
"security_sensitivity": 0
}
}
}