Plugin scoring
Score a plugin
Review the CANARY score, rationale, and supporting evidence.
The forecast comes from the frozen champion configuration applied to the newest panel month; the signals beneath it describe the plugin's current state and are not part of the validated forecast.
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CANARY forecast · as of 2026-06
active-directory
Activity-recency clocks + Contributor dynamics · Logistic Regression: the frozen champion fold model (oot_champion/fold_2025-11, trained on months before 2025-11, labels as known 2025-12) applied to the newest month of the panel. Inference only; no outcome for this month is known yet.
Read the rank, not the score. The score is the model's raw output and is not a probability: on the holdout the champion's mean score is about 0.5 against an observed advisory rate of 1 percent. Across the pre-registered holdout, reviewing the top fifth of plugins by this ranking caught about half of the advisories that followed.
Honest track record
Where active-directory ranked before each window
Activity-recency clocks + Contributor dynamics · Logistic Regression, embargoed rolling backtest: the rank this plugin held among every scored plugin at each forecast date, using only what was knowable then. Shaded months are the pre-registered holdout.
Scored at 32 forecast dates; on average in the top 2.4% of plugins (top 1.9% across the holdout). An advisory followed within six months of 4 of those dates.
| Holdout month | Score | Rank | Share of panel | What followed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 76.8% | 16 of 2,053 | top 0.73% | none within six months |
| 2025-08 | 75.7% | 15 of 2,053 | top 0.68% | none within six months |
| 2025-09 | 77.6% | 11 of 2,053 | top 0.49% | none within six months |
| 2025-10 | 67.0% | 55 of 2,053 | top 2.6% | none within six months |
| 2025-11 | 64.9% | 85 of 2,053 | top 4.1% | SECURITY-3659 2026-05-27 |
| 2025-12 | 68.3% | 56 of 2,053 | top 2.7% | SECURITY-3659 2026-05-27 |
Current-state context
Supporting signals
Maintenance history, governance artifacts, SLSA provenance and known advisories in dependencies, read from the plugin's current public state. A practitioner's dashboard, not part of the validated forecast.
Key risk signals
- 7 prior advisory record(s) — history +14, recency +10 (0 within 90d, 2 within 365 days); component total +24 (cap 30).
- Advisory severity (max CVSS 9.8 — Critical): +15 (cap 15).
- Latest release: 2026-07-29.
- Requires Jenkins core 2.541.3.
- Last commit: November 2, 2026 — live data from GitHub.
- Recent release activity supports active maintenance.
- 11 historical security warning(s) — none currently active.
- No SECURITY.md — vulnerability reporting process undocumented (+3).
- No Dependabot or GitHub Actions detected — limited automated maintenance (+3).
- Dependency risk: 2 of 4 dep(s) have advisories; worst: configuration-as-code (CVSS 6.5).
- Plugin health score 94/100 — acceptable maintenance posture.
Feature details (34 keys)
{
"advisory_count": 7,
"latest_advisory_date": "2026-06-24",
"days_since_latest_advisory": 138,
"advisory_within_90d": 0,
"advisory_within_365d": 2,
"had_advisory_within_365d": true,
"max_cvss_base_score_observed": 9.8,
"max_cvss_severity_label_observed": "Critical",
"swh_present": true,
"swh_days_since_last_commit": 2.5,
"swh_commit_count": 8750,
"swh_has_security_md": false,
"swh_has_dependabot": false,
"swh_has_github_actions": false,
"swh_has_tests_directory": true,
"swh_has_changelog": true,
"swh_security_fix_commit_count": 166,
"has_plugin_snapshot": true,
"required_core": "2.541.3",
"dependency_count": 4,
"security_warning_count": 11,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"release_timestamp": "2026-07-29T13:40:52+00:00",
"days_since_release": 102,
"dependency_plugins": [
"caffeine-api",
"configuration-as-code",
"ionicons-api",
"mailer"
],
"dependency_total": 4,
"dependency_risk_points": 18,
"dependency_risk_summary": {
"deps_with_any_advisory": 2,
"deps_with_recent_advisory_365d": 0,
"deps_with_active_warning": 0,
"worst_dep_max_cvss": 6.5,
"worst_dep_id": "configuration-as-code",
"worst_dep_latest_advisory_date": "2022-01-12"
},
"dependency_missing_data": {
"snapshot_missing": 0,
"advisories_missing": 0,
"healthscore_missing": 0
},
"dependency_details_top": [
{
"plugin_id": "mailer",
"advisory_count": 4,
"latest_advisory_date": "2022-01-12",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 4.8,
"security_warning_count": 4,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 100,
"risk_points": 10,
"reasons": [
"4 advisories (+8).",
"Max CVSS 4.8 (+2)."
]
},
{
"plugin_id": "configuration-as-code",
"advisory_count": 3,
"latest_advisory_date": "2022-01-12",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 6.5,
"security_warning_count": 9,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 100,
"risk_points": 8,
"reasons": [
"3 advisories (+6).",
"Max CVSS 6.5 (+2)."
]
}
],
"healthscore_value": 94,
"healthscore_date": "2026-02-20T01:28:07.52325Z",
"healthscore_collected_at": "2026-02-28T16:43:20+00:00",
"score_components": {
"advisory_history": 24,
"advisory_severity": 15,
"staleness": 0,
"active_warnings": 0,
"governance": 6,
"dependency": 4,
"health_score": 0,
"security_sensitivity": 0
}
}JSON payload
{
"plugin": "active-directory",
"score": 49,
"reasons": [
"7 prior advisory record(s) — history +14, recency +10 (0 within 90d, 2 within 365 days); component total +24 (cap 30).",
"Advisory severity (max CVSS 9.8 — Critical): +15 (cap 15).",
"Latest release: 2026-07-29.",
"Requires Jenkins core 2.541.3.",
"Recent commit activity (2 days ago) suggests active maintenance.",
"Recent release activity supports active maintenance.",
"11 historical security warning(s) — none currently active.",
"No SECURITY.md — vulnerability reporting process undocumented (+3).",
"No Dependabot or GitHub Actions detected — limited automated maintenance (+3).",
"Dependency risk: 2 of 4 dep(s) have advisories; worst: configuration-as-code (CVSS 6.5).",
"Plugin health score 94/100 — acceptable maintenance posture."
],
"features": {
"advisory_count": 7,
"latest_advisory_date": "2026-06-24",
"days_since_latest_advisory": 138,
"advisory_within_90d": 0,
"advisory_within_365d": 2,
"had_advisory_within_365d": true,
"max_cvss_base_score_observed": 9.8,
"max_cvss_severity_label_observed": "Critical",
"swh_present": true,
"swh_days_since_last_commit": 2.5,
"swh_commit_count": 8750,
"swh_has_security_md": false,
"swh_has_dependabot": false,
"swh_has_github_actions": false,
"swh_has_tests_directory": true,
"swh_has_changelog": true,
"swh_security_fix_commit_count": 166,
"has_plugin_snapshot": true,
"required_core": "2.541.3",
"dependency_count": 4,
"security_warning_count": 11,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"release_timestamp": "2026-07-29T13:40:52+00:00",
"days_since_release": 102,
"dependency_plugins": [
"caffeine-api",
"configuration-as-code",
"ionicons-api",
"mailer"
],
"dependency_total": 4,
"dependency_risk_points": 18,
"dependency_risk_summary": {
"deps_with_any_advisory": 2,
"deps_with_recent_advisory_365d": 0,
"deps_with_active_warning": 0,
"worst_dep_max_cvss": 6.5,
"worst_dep_id": "configuration-as-code",
"worst_dep_latest_advisory_date": "2022-01-12"
},
"dependency_missing_data": {
"snapshot_missing": 0,
"advisories_missing": 0,
"healthscore_missing": 0
},
"dependency_details_top": [
{
"plugin_id": "mailer",
"advisory_count": 4,
"latest_advisory_date": "2022-01-12",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 4.8,
"security_warning_count": 4,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 100,
"risk_points": 10,
"reasons": [
"4 advisories (+8).",
"Max CVSS 4.8 (+2)."
]
},
{
"plugin_id": "configuration-as-code",
"advisory_count": 3,
"latest_advisory_date": "2022-01-12",
"recent_advisory_365d": false,
"max_cvss": 6.5,
"security_warning_count": 9,
"active_security_warning_count": 0,
"healthscore": 100,
"risk_points": 8,
"reasons": [
"3 advisories (+6).",
"Max CVSS 6.5 (+2)."
]
}
],
"healthscore_value": 94,
"healthscore_date": "2026-02-20T01:28:07.52325Z",
"healthscore_collected_at": "2026-02-28T16:43:20+00:00",
"score_components": {
"advisory_history": 24,
"advisory_severity": 15,
"staleness": 0,
"active_warnings": 0,
"governance": 6,
"dependency": 4,
"health_score": 0,
"security_sensitivity": 0
}
}
}